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21.08.2024 05:04 AM
2024年8月21日歐元/美元匯率預測

在市場預期聯邦儲備局即將降息的背景下,市場繼續上漲。昨日,歐元再漲 44 點,接近 1.1140/50 的目標區間。該區間的上限是由 2023 年 7 月 27 日的峰值設定的。市場參與者還預計聯邦儲備局主席傑羅姆·鮑威爾將在週五開始的傑克遜霍爾研討會上宣布加速降息的步伐。

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先前我們提到,投資者可能需要針對他們對年內兩次0.50%降息的過高預期進行一場「警醒」,並將其與九月的FOMC會議聯繫起來。然而,情況顯示這可能更早地發生,具體來說是在即將舉行的研討會上。這種情況下,市場參與者將有時間在FOMC會議前調整他們的倉位。我們預測歐元可能從所提及的1.1140/50區間出現反轉。Marlin振盪指標已經向下轉,這表明價格增長可能放緩。

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在4小時圖中,馬林振盪器也並未分享價格的樂觀情緒,從視覺上看顯示出橫向移動。市場似乎正在放緩,等待鮑威爾的關鍵演講。

Laurie Bailey,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2024
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