empty
13.04.2023 10:42 AM
Bitcoin holds $30k amid intensifying deflationary movement: What to expect next?

Bitcoin's two-week consolidation movement near the $28k level ended, and the cryptocurrency moved into an active phase of price movement. The crypto asset made a bullish exit outside the range, which later transformed into a "wedge" pattern.

Bitcoin realized bullish momentum before the publication of inflation reports, which was the main trigger for the cryptocurrency. Subsequently, the expectations were confirmed, and the market reacted to the news with a minimal price movement.

This image is no longer relevant

However, the March 2023 inflation reporting results could be a turning point in the bullish sentiment of the cryptocurrency market. Also, positive macro data allowed Bitcoin to move into the next fluctuation range, where the key targets will be levels above $32k.

Deflationary movement intensifies

On the eve of the publication of inflation data, restrained but positive expectations reigned in the market. Most investors expected the inflation rate to fall to 5.2% from 6% in February. As a result, the indicator fell to 5% year-on-year, which provoked additional euphoria in the market.

This image is no longer relevant

As a result, the annual inflation rate in the U.S. fell to its lowest level in two years. Futures markets immediately reacted to the strengthening of the deflationary movement and reduced the likelihood of a rate hike in May by 0.25%.

This image is no longer relevant

Fed officials announced the main theses in the context of new data on inflation and noted that the target rate was reduced after the crisis in the banking system. The regulator also said it is discussing a pause in raising the rate due to the difficult macroeconomic situation.

This image is no longer relevant

On the one hand, this news can be perceived positively, but it is important to emphasize that the Fed has just completed a local stimulus program for banks. This means we can expect another deflationary slowdown in a few months.

BTC/USD Analysis

Despite all the potential skepticism, Bitcoin has become one of the main beneficiaries of lower inflation. Crypto investors recouped the positive news back on Tuesday, resulting in only a minimal spike in volatility on Wednesday.

This image is no longer relevant

As of April 13, Bitcoin is trading near the $30k level with low trading volumes in the region of $18 billion. Due to the long consolidation near the $28.5k level and the bullish breakout of the "wedge" pattern, we can conclude that BTC is moving smoothly into a new swing range – $28k–$30.5k.

At this stage, the $28.5k level becomes a key support zone where large volumes of BTC have been accumulated. At the same time, the $30.5k level is a local resistance level for the price. CME shows increased investor interest in the $34.5k–$35.4k zone.

This image is no longer relevant

Also, near the $34.5k level, there is a global Fibo level of 0.236, which can become a magnet for the price. In the short term, we see readiness for a new bullish move on the 1D timeframe. Stochastic and MACD have formed a bullish crossover, which indicates a likely upward movement.

This image is no longer relevant

At the same time, there is no reason to expect a powerful bullish rally, since the signals of technical metrics are not confirmed by the upward dynamics of trading volumes and network activity. Given this, among the short-term targets of BTC, it is worth highlighting the likely retest of the $30.5k level.

Results

Fundamentally and emotionally, Bitcoin has significantly strengthened and is ready to continue the upward movement. The key levels for the bullish rally of the asset at this stage will be the $34.5k–$35.8k level, where large volumes of sell orders are concentrated, and the 0.236 Fibo level also passes.

Artem Petrenko,
Especialista em análise na InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Selecionar intervalo de tempo
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hora
4
horas
1
dia
1
s.
Ganhe com as variações das taxas das criptomoedas com a InstaForex.
Baixe o MetaTrader 4 e abra a sua primeira operação.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    PARTICIPE DO CONCURSO

Recommended Stories

Recomendações de negociação para o mercado de criptomoedas em 2 de abril

O Bitcoin e o Ethereum seguem resilientes antes de um grande evento que pode remodelar o cenário do comércio global. No entanto, outra tentativa fracassada do Bitcoin de se firmar

Miroslaw Bawulski 17:14 2025-04-02 UTC+2

Análise do BTC/USD – 2 de abril: Bitcoin também teme as tarifas de Trump

O padrão de ondas no gráfico de 4 horas do par BTC/USD está bem definido. Após completar uma tendência de alta com cinco ondas completas, o Bitcoin entrou

Chin Zhao 14:14 2025-04-02 UTC+2

Dicas de negociação para o mercado de criptomoedas em 1 de abril

O Bitcoin e o Ethereum recuaram em resposta a mais uma queda no mercado acionário dos EUA. Atualmente, ambos os criptoativos mantêm uma correlação clara com os índices de ações

Miroslaw Bawulski 18:52 2025-04-01 UTC+2

Traders fazem uma pausa antes de um evento importante

O preço do Bitcoin se estabilizou em torno de US$ 83.000, enquanto os investidores aguardam um importante anúncio do presidente dos Estados Unidos, Donald Trump, sobre tarifas, previsto para amanhã

Jakub Novak 18:00 2025-04-01 UTC+2

Recomendações de negociação para o mercado de criptomoedas em 31 de março

O Bitcoin e o Ethereum retomaram seu declínio no último fim de semana, sem apresentar crescimento significativo durante a semana passada, o que aponta para uma correção contínua no mercado

Miroslaw Bawulski 17:18 2025-03-31 UTC+2

Mercado de criptomoedas desafia traders e gera incerteza

As notícias recentes do mercado de criptomoedas desanimaram os investidores. No último fim de semana, o Bitcoin e o Ether sofreram quedas acentuadas e não conseguiram retornar à sua trajetória

Jakub Novak 17:05 2025-03-31 UTC+2

Bitcoin – Visão geral da análise técnica

A incerteza domina o mercado neste momento, e os participantes adotaram uma postura de espera. O suporte da tendência de curto prazo mensal, em 79.773, e da tendência de médio

Evangelos Poulakis 16:05 2025-03-31 UTC+2

Ethereum caiu. Bitcoin foi menos afetado

Apesar da implementação bem-sucedida da atualização de teste Pectra na nova testnet Hoodi — possivelmente o passo final antes do lançamento da atualização na rede principal do Ethereum, com foco

Jakub Novak 16:27 2025-03-28 UTC+2

Dicas de negociação para o mercado de criptomoedas em 28 de março

O Bitcoin e o Ethereum estão lutando para se manter à tona. Outra tentativa fracassada do Bitcoin de se sustentar acima dos US$ 88.000 resultou em vendas durante o pregão

Miroslaw Bawulski 16:21 2025-03-28 UTC+2

Dicas de negociação no mercado de criptomoedas em 27 de março (sessão norte-americana)

O Bitcoin não mostrou nada de interessante na primeira metade do dia. Apenas o Ethereum pôde ser negociado um pouco dentro de seu canal lateral, no qual ainda está preso

Miroslaw Bawulski 17:29 2025-03-27 UTC+2
Não pode falar agora?
Faça sua pergunta no chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.